St. Louis Blues at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2024-10-31 • Wells Fargo Center
Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 1 St. Louis Blues
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 55.2%
STL: 44.8%
Expected Goals
PHI: 3.08
STL: 2.96
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 43%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PHI at home vs STL: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-20 | PHI 3 - 2 STL | PHI | PHI |
| 2025-11-14 | STL 5 - 6 PHI | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-11-30 | STL 2 - 3 PHI | PHI | STL |
| 2024-10-31 | PHI 2 - 1 STL | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-03-04 | PHI 1 - 2 STL | STL | PHI |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PHI | 10 | 0 | 0.46 |
| 1 | STL | 14 | 0 | 0.60 |
| 2 | PHI | 17 | 0 | 0.47 |
| 2 | STL | 13 | 0 | 0.78 |
| 3 | PHI | 9 | 0 | 0.60 |
| 3 | STL | 11 | 0 | 0.47 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 55.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 1 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 3.1 - 3.0
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