Anaheim Ducks at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2024-10-31 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 2 - 1 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

PIT: 65.8%

ANA: 34.2%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.46

ANA: 2.82

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

PIT

Alex Nedeljkovic - 14-15-5 | 0.894 SV% | 3.12 GAA

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PIT	Alex Nedeljkovic	23	22	1	95.7%	1.54	0	0.54
ANA	Lukas Dostal	45	43	2	95.6%	3.86	3	1.86

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • PIT at home vs ANA: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-09	PIT 3 - 4 ANA	ANA	PIT
2025-10-14	ANA 4 - 3 PIT	ANA	ANA
2025-01-23	ANA 5 - 1 PIT	ANA	PIT
2024-10-31	PIT 2 - 1 ANA	PIT	PIT
2023-11-07	ANA 0 - 2 PIT	PIT	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	25	1	1.27
1	ANA	11	0	0.60
2	PIT	14	1	1.07
2	ANA	14	0	0.27
3	PIT	27	1	1.24
3	ANA	11	0	0.68
4	PIT	2	0	0.28
4	ANA	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 2 - 1 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.5 - 2.8