Montreal Canadiens at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2024-10-31 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 6 - 3 Montreal Canadiens

Win Probability

WSH: 64.5%

MTL: 35.5%

Expected Goals

WSH: 5.11

MTL: 2.61

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • WSH at home vs MTL: 5-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-28	MTL 6 - 2 WSH	MTL	MTL
2026-01-13	WSH 3 - 2 MTL	WSH	WSH
2025-11-20	MTL 4 - 8 WSH	WSH	MTL
2025-04-30	WSH 4 - 1 MTL	WSH	WSH
2025-04-27	MTL 2 - 5 WSH	WSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	15	0	0.86
1	MTL	7	0	0.26
2	WSH	23	1	1.78
2	MTL	11	0	0.58
3	WSH	20	2	1.56
3	MTL	8	0	0.72

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 7.7

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 6 - 3 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 5.1 - 2.6