Boston Bruins at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2024-10-31 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 8 - 2 Boston Bruins

Win Probability

CAR: 85.3%

BOS: 14.7%

Expected Goals

CAR: 4.68

BOS: 2.05

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 40%

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	15	13	2	86.7%	1.48	0	-0.52
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	37	29	8	78.4%	3.58	2	-4.42

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CAR at home vs BOS: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	CAR 6 - 5 BOS	CAR	CAR
2025-11-17	BOS 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-01	BOS 2 - 1 CAR	BOS	CAR
2025-04-05	BOS 5 - 1 CAR	BOS	CAR
2025-03-06	CAR 3 - 2 BOS	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	17	1	1.23
1	BOS	8	0	0.55
2	CAR	24	1	1.69
2	BOS	7	0	0.63
3	CAR	10	0	0.66
3	BOS	9	0	0.29

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 85.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 8 - 2 Boston Bruins

Expected: 4.7 - 2.0