Tampa Bay Lightning at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2024-11-01 • Xcel Energy Center
Minnesota Wild 5 - 3 Tampa Bay Lightning
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 55.9%
TBL: 44.1%
Expected Goals
MIN: 3.79
TBL: 2.85
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 20-9-6 | 0.906 SV% | 2.64 GAA
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 28-7-3 | 0.920 SV% | 2.11 GAA
| Stat | MIN | TBL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.895 | 0.921 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.47 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • MIN at home vs TBL: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-01 | MIN 5 - 3 TBL | MIN | MIN |
| 2024-10-24 | TBL 2 - 4 MIN | MIN | TBL |
| 2024-01-18 | TBL 7 - 3 MIN | TBL | TBL |
| 2024-01-04 | MIN 1 - 4 TBL | TBL | MIN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:15 | TBL | Goal |
| 2 | 00:47 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 02:41 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 06:23 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 14:37 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 16:57 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 17:34 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 19:31 | MIN | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 55.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 5 - 3 Tampa Bay Lightning
Expected: 3.8 - 2.9