New Jersey Devils at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2024-11-01 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 3 - 0 New Jersey Devils

🚨 Upset Win (59% underdog)

Win Probability

CGY: 41.5%

NJD: 58.5%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.02

NJD: 3.33

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 17% • CGY at home vs NJD: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	NJD 4 - 5 CGY	CGY	NJD
2026-01-19	CGY 1 - 2 NJD	NJD	CGY
2025-03-20	NJD 3 - 5 CGY	CGY	NJD
2024-11-01	CGY 3 - 0 NJD	CGY	NJD
2024-02-08	NJD 3 - 5 CGY	CGY	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	15	0	0.51
1	NJD	6	0	0.46
2	CGY	17	0	0.73
2	NJD	12	0	0.84
3	CGY	10	1	0.90
3	NJD	11	0	0.67

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 3 - 0 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.0 - 3.3