Dallas Stars at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2024-11-02 • Nokia Arena

Florida Panthers 4 - 2 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

FLA: 58.2%

DAL: 41.8%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.36

DAL: 3.02

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • FLA at home vs DAL: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-13	DAL 0 - 4 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-11-01	FLA 4 - 3 DAL	FLA	FLA
2024-11-02	FLA 4 - 2 DAL	FLA	FLA
2024-11-01	DAL 4 - 6 FLA	FLA	FLA
2024-03-12	DAL 3 - 4 FLA	FLA	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	10	0	0.72
1	DAL	14	0	1.10
2	FLA	8	0	0.63
2	DAL	14	1	1.09
3	FLA	14	1	1.29
3	DAL	13	0	0.34

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 4 - 2 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.4 - 3.0