Boston Bruins at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2024-11-02 • Wells Fargo Center
Philadelphia Flyers 0 - 3 Boston Bruins
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 56.6%
BOS: 43.4%
Expected Goals
PHI: 3.14
BOS: 2.89
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA
| Stat | PHI | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.914 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.962 | 0.904 |
| GAA | 2.40 | 2.84 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • PHI at home vs BOS: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | PHI 2 - 1 BOS | PHI | PHI |
| 2026-02-28 | PHI 3 - 1 BOS | PHI | PHI |
| 2026-01-29 | BOS 6 - 3 PHI | BOS | PHI |
| 2024-12-07 | BOS 4 - 3 PHI | BOS | BOS |
| 2024-11-02 | PHI 0 - 3 BOS | BOS | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:28 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 11:23 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 16:21 | BOS | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 0 - 3 Boston Bruins
Expected: 3.1 - 2.9
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