Boston Bruins at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2024-11-02 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 0 - 3 Boston Bruins

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

Win Probability

PHI: 54.3%

BOS: 45.7%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.12

BOS: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • PHI at home vs BOS: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-05	PHI 2 - 1 BOS	PHI	PHI
2026-02-28	PHI 3 - 1 BOS	PHI	PHI
2026-01-29	BOS 6 - 3 PHI	BOS	BOS
2024-12-07	BOS 4 - 3 PHI	BOS	PHI
2024-11-02	PHI 0 - 3 BOS	BOS	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	6	0	0.22
1	BOS	21	0	1.16
2	PHI	12	1	1.10
2	BOS	11	0	0.76
3	PHI	10	0	0.44
3	BOS	12	1	1.14

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 0 - 3 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1