Columbus Blue Jackets at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2024-11-02 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 7 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets

Win Probability

WSH: 80.9%

CBJ: 19.1%

Expected Goals

WSH: 4.39

CBJ: 2.03

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

WSH

Logan Thompson - 15-11-3 | 0.913 SV% | 2.39 GAA

CBJ

Daniil Tarasov - 8-11-3 | 0.908 SV% | 3.18 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WSH	Logan Thompson	36	34	2	94.4%	3.93	3	1.93
CBJ	Daniil Tarasov	22	15	7	68.2%	3.06	1	-3.94

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • WSH at home vs CBJ: 7-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	CBJ 1 - 2 WSH	WSH	CBJ
2025-12-07	WSH 2 - 0 CBJ	WSH	WSH
2025-11-24	WSH 5 - 1 CBJ	WSH	WSH
2025-10-24	CBJ 1 - 5 WSH	WSH	WSH
2025-04-13	WSH 1 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	13	0	1.24
1	CBJ	13	1	1.05
2	WSH	10	1	0.99
2	CBJ	25	2	2.35
3	WSH	10	0	0.83
3	CBJ	17	0	0.53

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 80.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 7 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 4.4 - 2.0