Seattle Kraken at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2024-11-02 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 3 - 0 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

OTT: 65.6%

SEA: 34.4%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.53

SEA: 2.26

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 37%

OTT

Anton Forsberg - 11-12-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
OTT	Anton Forsberg	22	22	0	100.0%	2.17	1	2.17
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	23	20	3	87.0%	4.04	4	1.04

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • OTT at home vs SEA: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	SEA 4 - 7 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-10-16	OTT 4 - 3 SEA	OTT	OTT
2024-12-17	SEA 0 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2024-11-02	OTT 3 - 0 SEA	OTT	OTT
2024-01-04	SEA 4 - 1 OTT	SEA	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	16	2	1.97
1	SEA	10	0	0.60
2	OTT	15	1	1.04
2	SEA	14	0	0.57
3	OTT	6	1	1.02
3	SEA	15	1	1.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 3 - 0 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.5 - 2.3