Buffalo Sabres at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2024-11-02 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 1 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

DET: 56.5%

BUF: 43.5%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.32

BUF: 2.83

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • DET at home vs BUF: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-27	BUF 2 - 5 DET	DET	BUF
2025-11-15	DET 4 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2025-10-22	BUF 4 - 2 DET	BUF	BUF
2025-03-12	DET 7 - 3 BUF	DET	BUF
2024-12-09	BUF 5 - 6 DET	DET	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	11	0	0.49
1	BUF	15	1	1.12
2	DET	15	1	1.25
2	BUF	12	0	0.62
3	DET	13	0	0.48
3	BUF	24	2	1.35

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 2 - 1 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.3 - 2.8