Toronto Maple Leafs at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2024-11-02 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 4 - 2 Toronto Maple Leafs

🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)

Win Probability

STL: 44.2%

TOR: 55.8%

Expected Goals

STL: 2.96

TOR: 3.86

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 39%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • STL at home vs TOR: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	STL 5 - 1 TOR	STL	STL
2025-11-18	TOR 3 - 2 STL	TOR	STL
2024-11-02	STL 4 - 2 TOR	STL	TOR
2024-10-24	TOR 1 - 5 STL	STL	TOR
2024-02-19	STL 2 - 4 TOR	TOR	TOR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	6	0	0.34
1	TOR	18	1	1.31
2	STL	18	1	1.45
2	TOR	11	1	0.92
3	STL	8	1	1.13
3	TOR	21	1	1.39

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 4 - 2 Toronto Maple Leafs

Expected: 3.0 - 3.9