Colorado Avalanche at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2024-11-02 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 5 - 2 Colorado Avalanche

🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 46.0%

COL: 54.0%

Expected Goals

NSH: 2.73

COL: 3.69

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 40%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

COL

Justus Annunen - 8-4-1 | 0.928 SV% | 2.25 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	31	29	2	93.5%	2.66	0	0.66
COL	Justus Annunen	26	21	5	80.8%	4.43	5	-0.57

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • NSH at home vs COL: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-16	COL 3 - 7 NSH	NSH	COL
2025-12-13	COL 4 - 2 NSH	COL	COL
2025-12-09	NSH 4 - 3 COL	NSH	COL
2025-11-22	NSH 0 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2025-02-22	NSH 2 - 1 COL	NSH	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	15	2	1.27
1	COL	10	0	0.72
2	NSH	11	0	0.63
2	COL	19	0	1.45
3	NSH	14	3	2.53
3	COL	12	0	0.49

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 5 - 2 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.7 - 3.7