Utah Hockey Club at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2024-11-02 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 3 Utah Hockey Club

Win Probability

VGK: 55.6%

UTA: 44.4%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.37

UTA: 2.87

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VGK at home vs UTA: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-01	UTA 1 - 5 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-04-29	VGK 5 - 4 UTA	VGK	VGK
2026-04-27	UTA 4 - 5 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-04-24	UTA 4 - 2 VGK	UTA	VGK
2026-04-21	VGK 2 - 3 UTA	UTA	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	13	0	0.96
1	UTA	6	0	0.44
2	VGK	18	2	1.76
2	UTA	14	0	0.88
3	VGK	12	0	0.45
3	UTA	13	0	0.51
4	VGK	4	0	0.43
4	UTA	1	0	0.08

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 3 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 3.4 - 2.9