New York Islanders at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2024-11-03 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 5 - 2 New York Islanders

Win Probability

NYR: 57.2%

NYI: 42.8%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.09

NYI: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYR at home vs NYI: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	NYR 1 - 2 NYI	NYI	NYR
2026-01-28	NYI 5 - 2 NYR	NYI	NYI
2025-12-27	NYI 2 - 0 NYR	NYI	NYI
2025-11-08	NYR 0 - 5 NYI	NYI	NYR
2025-04-10	NYI 2 - 9 NYR	NYR	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	13	0	1.02
1	NYI	15	0	0.85
2	NYR	19	0	1.21
2	NYI	21	4	2.22
3	NYR	13	1	1.26
3	NYI	14	0	0.82

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 5 - 2 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0