Washington Capitals at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2024-11-03 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 2 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

CAR: 82.5%

WSH: 17.5%

Expected Goals

CAR: 4.04

WSH: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 69% • CAR at home vs WSH: 5-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	WSH 4 - 3 CAR	WSH	CAR
2025-12-11	WSH 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-11	CAR 1 - 4 WSH	WSH	CAR
2025-05-15	WSH 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-05-12	CAR 5 - 2 WSH	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	16	0	0.62
1	WSH	11	1	1.95
2	CAR	23	1	1.72
2	WSH	8	0	0.38
3	CAR	22	1	2.04
3	WSH	12	0	0.69

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 82.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 7.1

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 2 Washington Capitals

Expected: 4.0 - 3.1