Edmonton Oilers at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions
2024-11-03 • Scotiabank Saddledome
Calgary Flames 2 - 4 Edmonton Oilers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CGY: 32.3%
EDM: 67.7%
Expected Goals
CGY: 2.91
EDM: 3.30
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
| Stat | CGY | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.837 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.905 | 0.840 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • CGY at home vs EDM: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 | CGY 4 - 3 EDM | CGY | EDM |
| 2025-12-27 | CGY 3 - 2 EDM | CGY | CGY |
| 2025-12-23 | EDM 5 - 1 CGY | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-10-08 | EDM 3 - 4 CGY | CGY | CGY |
| 2025-03-29 | EDM 3 - 2 CGY | EDM | EDM |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:20 | EDM | Goal |
| 1 | 08:12 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 04:33 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 04:28 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 10:10 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 19:57 | EDM | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 67.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Calgary Flames 2 - 4 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 2.9 - 3.3
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