Edmonton Oilers at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2024-11-03 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 2 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

CGY: 31.7%

EDM: 68.3%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.03

EDM: 3.43

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • CGY at home vs EDM: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-04	CGY 4 - 3 EDM	CGY	EDM
2025-12-27	CGY 3 - 2 EDM	CGY	CGY
2025-12-23	EDM 5 - 1 CGY	EDM	EDM
2025-10-08	EDM 3 - 4 CGY	CGY	EDM
2025-03-29	EDM 3 - 2 CGY	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	13	0	0.53
1	EDM	14	1	0.96
2	CGY	14	0	0.89
2	EDM	12	0	0.57
3	CGY	16	1	1.00
3	EDM	12	1	1.33

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 68.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 2 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.0 - 3.4