New Jersey Devils at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2024-11-04 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 0 - 3 New Jersey Devils
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 50.9%
NJD: 49.1%
Expected Goals
EDM: 2.93
NJD: 3.12
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 48%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • EDM at home vs NJD: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-20 | EDM 1 - 2 NJD | NJD | EDM |
| 2025-10-18 | NJD 5 - 3 EDM | NJD | EDM |
| 2025-03-13 | NJD 3 - 2 EDM | NJD | EDM |
| 2024-11-04 | EDM 0 - 3 NJD | NJD | EDM |
| 2023-12-21 | NJD 3 - 6 EDM | EDM | EDM |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EDM | 16 | 0 | 1.20 |
| 1 | NJD | 11 | 0 | 0.52 |
| 2 | EDM | 16 | 0 | 1.09 |
| 2 | NJD | 5 | 1 | 0.35 |
| 3 | EDM | 13 | 0 | 0.64 |
| 3 | NJD | 5 | 1 | 1.12 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 0 - 3 New Jersey Devils
Expected: 2.9 - 3.1
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