New Jersey Devils at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-11-04 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 0 - 3 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

EDM: 48.8%

NJD: 51.2%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.10

NJD: 2.85

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 72%

Over 6.5: 53%

EDM

Calvin Pickard - 4-5-2 | 0.874 SV% | 3.69 GAA

NJD

Jake Allen - 11-8-1 | 0.912 SV% | 2.52 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Calvin Pickard	16	13	3	81.2%	1.99	2	-1.01
NJD	Jake Allen	31	31	0	100.0%	2.93	0	2.93

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • EDM at home vs NJD: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-20	EDM 1 - 2 NJD	NJD	EDM
2025-10-18	NJD 5 - 3 EDM	NJD	EDM
2025-03-13	NJD 3 - 2 EDM	NJD	EDM
2024-11-04	EDM 0 - 3 NJD	NJD	NJD
2023-12-21	NJD 3 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	16	0	1.20
1	NJD	11	0	0.52
2	EDM	16	0	1.09
2	NJD	5	1	0.35
3	EDM	13	0	0.64
3	NJD	5	1	1.12

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 0 - 3 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.1 - 2.8