Ottawa Senators at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions
2024-11-05 • KeyBank Center
Buffalo Sabres 5 - 1 Ottawa Senators
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 54.9%
OTT: 45.1%
Expected Goals
BUF: 3.39
OTT: 3.19
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 14-8-3 | 0.913 SV% | 2.72 GAA
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 16-8-5 | 0.884 SV% | 2.86 GAA
| Stat | BUF | OTT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.881 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.934 | 0.882 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.905 | 0.880 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.95 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • BUF at home vs OTT: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-23 | OTT 2 - 3 BUF | BUF | OTT |
| 2025-10-15 | BUF 8 - 4 OTT | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-04-01 | OTT 2 - 5 BUF | BUF | OTT |
| 2025-03-25 | BUF 3 - 2 OTT | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-01-09 | OTT 0 - 4 BUF | BUF | OTT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:37 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 00:17 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 07:31 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 00:21 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 00:37 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 12:08 | BUF | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 54.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Buffalo Sabres 5 - 1 Ottawa Senators
Expected: 3.4 - 3.2