Tampa Bay Lightning at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2024-11-05 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 3 - 2 Tampa Bay Lightning
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 51.1%
TBL: 48.9%
Expected Goals
STL: 3.08
TBL: 3.11
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Joel Hofer - 23-13-5 | 0.910 SV% | 2.60 GAA
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 39-15-4 | 0.911 SV% | 2.31 GAA
| Stat | STL | TBL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.917 | 0.919 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.944 | 0.933 |
| GAA | 2.87 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • STL at home vs TBL: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 | STL 3 - 2 TBL | STL | TBL |
| 2025-12-22 | TBL 4 - 1 STL | TBL | TBL |
| 2024-12-19 | TBL 3 - 1 STL | TBL | TBL |
| 2024-11-05 | STL 3 - 2 TBL | STL | STL |
| 2023-12-19 | TBL 6 - 1 STL | TBL | TBL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 02:39 | TBL | Goal |
| 2 | 07:57 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 18:25 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 08:51 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 11:43 | STL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 51.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 3 - 2 Tampa Bay Lightning
Expected: 3.1 - 3.1
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