Los Angeles Kings at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2024-11-05 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 1 - 5 Los Angeles Kings

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 55.4%

LAK: 44.6%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.03

LAK: 3.15

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 51%

Over 6.5: 39%

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

LAK

David Rittich - 16-14-2 | 0.886 SV% | 2.84 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	28	23	5	82.1%	3.89	4	-1.11
LAK	David Rittich	24	23	1	95.8%	1.24	1	0.24

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MIN at home vs LAK: 4-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-05	LAK 4 - 2 MIN	LAK	LAK
2026-01-03	LAK 5 - 4 MIN	LAK	LAK
2025-10-13	MIN 4 - 3 LAK	MIN	MIN
2025-03-17	MIN 3 - 1 LAK	MIN	MIN
2024-12-07	LAK 4 - 1 MIN	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	10	0	0.34
1	LAK	10	0	0.48
2	MIN	10	0	0.38
2	LAK	17	1	1.31
3	MIN	12	1	0.53
3	LAK	21	3	2.10

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 1 - 5 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1