Utah Hockey Club at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2024-11-05 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 0 Utah Hockey Club

Win Probability

WPG: 53.9%

UTA: 46.1%

Expected Goals

WPG: 2.92

UTA: 2.73

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 45%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 17-10-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.68 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	21	21	0	100.0%	1.77	1	1.77
UTA	Karel Vejmelka	28	25	3	89.3%	2.74	2	-0.26

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 86% • WPG at home vs UTA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	UTA 5 - 3 WPG	UTA	UTA
2025-12-21	UTA 4 - 3 WPG	UTA	UTA
2025-10-26	WPG 2 - 3 UTA	UTA	WPG
2025-04-05	UTA 4 - 1 WPG	UTA	UTA
2025-01-24	WPG 5 - 2 UTA	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	17	0	0.86
1	UTA	10	0	0.28
2	WPG	14	1	0.71
2	UTA	13	1	0.82
3	WPG	8	1	1.16
3	UTA	10	0	0.67

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 0 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 2.9 - 2.7