Seattle Kraken at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2024-11-05 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 6 - 3 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

COL: 75.2%

SEA: 24.8%

Expected Goals

COL: 4.35

SEA: 2.44

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 37%

COL

Justus Annunen - 8-4-1 | 0.928 SV% | 2.25 GAA

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	Justus Annunen	20	17	3	85.0%	1.92	3	-1.08
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	32	26	6	81.2%	4.24	2	-1.76

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • COL at home vs SEA: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	COL 2 - 0 SEA	COL	COL
2026-03-12	SEA 1 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-12-16	SEA 3 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2024-12-22	COL 5 - 2 SEA	COL	COL
2024-11-05	COL 6 - 3 SEA	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	20	0	1.43
1	SEA	10	1	0.40
2	COL	15	1	1.29
2	SEA	13	2	0.94
3	COL	13	1	1.52
3	SEA	9	0	0.57

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 75.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 6 - 3 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 4.3 - 2.4