Columbus Blue Jackets at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2024-11-05 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 2 - 1 Columbus Blue Jackets
🚨 Upset Win (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 42.2%
CBJ: 57.8%
Expected Goals
SJS: 2.89
CBJ: 3.03
Total Goals
Median: 5.4
Over 5.5: 44%
Over 6.5: 28%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
CBJ
Jet Greaves - 26-19-9 | 0.908 SV% | 2.60 GAA
| Stat | SJS | CBJ |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.909 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.888 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.912 |
| GAA | 3.36 | 2.62 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SJS at home vs CBJ: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | CBJ 2 - 3 SJS | SJS | CBJ |
| 2026-01-06 | SJS 5 - 2 CBJ | SJS | SJS |
| 2025-01-16 | CBJ 4 - 1 SJS | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2024-11-05 | SJS 2 - 1 CBJ | SJS | CBJ |
| 2024-03-16 | CBJ 4 - 2 SJS | CBJ | CBJ |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 18:49 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 09:17 | SJS | Goal |
| 4 | 03:11 | SJS | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 2 - 1 Columbus Blue Jackets
Expected: 2.9 - 3.0
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