Nashville Predators at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2024-11-06 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 3 - 2 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

WSH: 64.9%

NSH: 35.1%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.40

NSH: 2.60

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WSH at home vs NSH: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	WSH 4 - 2 NSH	WSH	WSH
2026-01-11	NSH 3 - 2 WSH	NSH	NSH
2025-01-11	NSH 1 - 4 WSH	WSH	NSH
2024-11-06	WSH 3 - 2 NSH	WSH	WSH
2023-12-30	WSH 2 - 3 NSH	NSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	25	2	1.99
1	NSH	15	0	0.49
2	WSH	19	2	1.63
2	NSH	23	1	1.32
3	WSH	7	1	0.65
3	NSH	20	0	1.01

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 3 - 2 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.4 - 2.6