Nashville Predators at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2024-11-06 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 3 - 2 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

WSH: 63.6%

NSH: 36.4%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.66

NSH: 2.74

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 42%

WSH

Logan Thompson - 15-11-3 | 0.913 SV% | 2.39 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WSH	Logan Thompson	35	33	2	94.3%	2.82	1	0.82
NSH	Juuse Saros	36	33	3	91.7%	4.27	5	1.27

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WSH at home vs NSH: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	WSH 4 - 2 NSH	WSH	WSH
2026-01-11	NSH 3 - 2 WSH	NSH	WSH
2025-01-11	NSH 1 - 4 WSH	WSH	NSH
2024-11-06	WSH 3 - 2 NSH	WSH	WSH
2023-12-30	WSH 2 - 3 NSH	NSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	25	2	1.99
1	NSH	15	0	0.49
2	WSH	19	2	1.63
2	NSH	23	1	1.32
3	WSH	7	1	0.65
3	NSH	20	0	1.01

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 3 - 2 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.7 - 2.7