Vegas Golden Knights at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-11-06 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 2 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

EDM: 54.8%

VGK: 45.2%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.01

VGK: 2.93

Total Goals

Median: 5.5

Over 5.5: 46%

Over 6.5: 32%

EDM

Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA

VGK

Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 31% • EDM at home vs VGK: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	EDM 1 - 5 VGK	VGK	EDM
2026-03-26	VGK 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	VGK
2026-03-08	VGK 2 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-12-21	EDM 4 - 3 VGK	EDM	VGK
2025-05-14	VGK 0 - 1 EDM	EDM	VGK

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	16:05	VGK	Goal
2	12:18	EDM	Goal
2	15:56	EDM	Goal
3	10:05	EDM	Goal
3	19:11	VGK	Goal
3	19:55	VGK	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 2 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.0 - 2.9