Vegas Golden Knights at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-11-06 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 2 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights

🚨 Upset Loss (63% underdog)

Win Probability

EDM: 62.5%

VGK: 37.5%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.64

VGK: 3.19

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 55%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • EDM at home vs VGK: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	EDM 1 - 5 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-03-26	VGK 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	VGK
2026-03-08	VGK 2 - 4 EDM	EDM	VGK
2025-12-21	EDM 4 - 3 VGK	EDM	EDM
2025-05-14	VGK 0 - 1 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	12	2	0.92
1	VGK	13	1	0.90
2	EDM	20	1	1.08
2	VGK	16	1	1.24
3	EDM	8	0	0.58
3	VGK	16	2	2.10

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 62.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 2 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.6 - 3.2