Buffalo Sabres at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2024-11-07 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 1 - 6 Buffalo Sabres

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 51.3%

BUF: 48.7%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.15

BUF: 3.14

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • NYR at home vs BUF: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-08	NYR 3 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-01-08	NYR 2 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2025-10-09	BUF 0 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-02-22	BUF 8 - 2 NYR	BUF	BUF
2024-12-11	BUF 2 - 3 NYR	NYR	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	11	1	0.96
1	BUF	7	0	0.55
2	NYR	15	0	0.84
2	BUF	11	0	0.78
3	NYR	16	2	1.30
3	BUF	9	1	0.70

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 1 - 6 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1