Pittsburgh Penguins at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2024-11-07 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 58.8%
PIT: 41.2%
Expected Goals
CAR: 4.45
PIT: 1.93
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-12-5 | 0.890 SV% | 2.79 GAA
| Stat | CAR | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.915 | 0.863 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.938 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.91 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 88% • CAR at home vs PIT: 4-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-30 | PIT 5 - 1 CAR | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-01-05 | CAR 4 - 3 PIT | CAR | CAR |
| 2024-11-07 | CAR 5 - 1 PIT | CAR | CAR |
| 2024-10-18 | PIT 1 - 4 CAR | CAR | PIT |
| 2024-03-26 | PIT 4 - 1 CAR | PIT | PIT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:47 | CAR | Goal |
| 1 | 00:52 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 13:52 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 09:27 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 05:08 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 02:07 | CAR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 58.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 1 Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected: 4.5 - 1.9