Utah Hockey Club at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2024-11-07 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 2 - 4 Utah Hockey Club

Win Probability

STL: 46.3%

UTA: 53.7%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.03

UTA: 2.59

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 51%

Over 6.5: 35%

STL

Joel Hofer - 8-8-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.87 GAA

UTA

Connor Ingram - 9-8-4 | 0.882 SV% | 3.27 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Joel Hofer	31	27	4	87.1%	2.97	1	-1.03
UTA	Connor Ingram	15	13	2	86.7%	1.53	0	-0.47

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • STL at home vs UTA: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	UTA 3 - 5 STL	STL	UTA
2026-01-09	UTA 4 - 2 STL	UTA	UTA
2025-11-29	STL 1 - 0 UTA	STL	UTA
2025-10-23	STL 4 - 7 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-04-15	STL 6 - 1 UTA	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	11	0	0.97
1	UTA	15	0	1.08
2	STL	5	0	0.29
2	UTA	19	0	0.97
3	STL	5	0	0.28
3	UTA	10	1	0.93

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 2 - 4 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 3.0 - 2.6