Utah Hockey Club at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2024-11-07 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 2 - 4 Utah Hockey Club
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 50.8%
UTA: 49.2%
Expected Goals
STL: 2.95
UTA: 2.73
Total Goals
Median: 5.5
Over 5.5: 49%
Over 6.5: 37%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • STL at home vs UTA: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-16 | UTA 3 - 5 STL | STL | UTA |
| 2026-01-09 | UTA 4 - 2 STL | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-11-29 | STL 1 - 0 UTA | STL | STL |
| 2025-10-23 | STL 4 - 7 UTA | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-04-15 | STL 6 - 1 UTA | STL | STL |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | STL | 11 | 0 | 0.97 |
| 1 | UTA | 15 | 0 | 1.08 |
| 2 | STL | 5 | 0 | 0.29 |
| 2 | UTA | 19 | 0 | 0.97 |
| 3 | STL | 5 | 0 | 0.28 |
| 3 | UTA | 10 | 1 | 0.93 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 2 - 4 Utah Hockey Club
Expected: 3.0 - 2.7
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.