Chicago Blackhawks at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2024-11-07 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 3 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

DAL: 72.3%

CHI: 27.7%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.98

CHI: 2.84

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 38%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • DAL at home vs CHI: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-08	DAL 4 - 3 CHI	DAL	DAL
2026-01-01	CHI 4 - 3 DAL	CHI	CHI
2025-12-27	DAL 3 - 4 CHI	CHI	CHI
2024-12-29	CHI 1 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL
2024-11-27	CHI 6 - 2 DAL	CHI	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	21	1	1.50
1	CHI	6	0	0.34
2	DAL	20	3	2.03
2	CHI	10	2	1.06
3	DAL	12	3	1.22
3	CHI	17	0	0.77

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 72.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 3 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 4.0 - 2.8