Vancouver Canucks at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2024-11-07 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 4 Vancouver Canucks

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

LAK: 55.4%

VAN: 44.6%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.38

VAN: 2.84

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	24	20	4	83.3%	5.00	5	1.00
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	28	26	2	92.9%	2.11	0	0.11

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • LAK at home vs VAN: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	VAN 4 - 3 LAK	VAN	VAN
2026-04-09	LAK 4 - 1 VAN	LAK	LAK
2026-03-26	VAN 0 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-11-29	LAK 2 - 1 VAN	LAK	LAK
2025-02-26	LAK 2 - 3 VAN	VAN	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	10	0	0.78
1	VAN	20	2	2.17
2	LAK	16	0	0.65
2	VAN	15	1	1.15
3	LAK	20	0	0.68
3	VAN	9	2	1.67

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 2 - 4 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.4 - 2.8