Ottawa Senators at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2024-11-09 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 2 - 3 Ottawa Senators

Win Probability

BOS: 45.0%

OTT: 55.0%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.01

OTT: 3.22

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • BOS at home vs OTT: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-21	BOS 2 - 6 OTT	OTT	BOS
2025-11-13	OTT 5 - 3 BOS	OTT	OTT
2025-11-06	BOS 3 - 2 OTT	BOS	OTT
2025-10-27	OTT 7 - 2 BOS	OTT	OTT
2025-03-13	OTT 6 - 3 BOS	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	9	1	0.59
1	OTT	15	1	0.95
2	BOS	9	1	0.77
2	OTT	14	0	0.94
3	BOS	4	0	0.15
3	OTT	17	0	0.85
4	BOS	1	0	0.15
4	OTT	2	0	0.24

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 2 - 3 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2