New York Rangers at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2024-11-09 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 0 - 4 New York Rangers

Win Probability

DET: 41.1%

NYR: 58.9%

Expected Goals

DET: 2.86

NYR: 3.50

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • DET at home vs NYR: 0-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	NYR 4 - 1 DET	NYR	NYR
2025-11-16	NYR 1 - 2 DET	DET	NYR
2025-11-07	DET 1 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR
2024-11-09	DET 0 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR
2024-10-17	DET 2 - 5 NYR	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	16	0	0.91
1	NYR	9	0	0.39
2	DET	29	0	1.95
2	NYR	9	1	0.48
3	DET	15	0	0.75
3	NYR	18	1	1.62

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 0 - 4 New York Rangers

Expected: 2.9 - 3.5