Washington Capitals at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2024-11-09 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 1 - 8 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

STL: 45.4%

WSH: 54.6%

Expected Goals

STL: 2.97

WSH: 4.56

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • STL at home vs WSH: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-24	STL 3 - 0 WSH	STL	STL
2025-11-05	WSH 6 - 1 STL	WSH	WSH
2025-02-27	WSH 2 - 5 STL	STL	STL
2024-11-09	STL 1 - 8 WSH	WSH	WSH
2024-01-20	STL 3 - 0 WSH	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	14	0	1.04
1	WSH	13	0	0.36
2	STL	13	0	0.63
2	WSH	10	0	0.63
3	STL	8	1	0.50
3	WSH	20	2	2.12

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 7.5

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 1 - 8 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.0 - 4.6