Washington Capitals at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2024-11-09 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 1 - 8 Washington Capitals
🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 50.1%
WSH: 49.9%
Expected Goals
STL: 2.42
WSH: 4.32
Total Goals
Median: 7.0
Over 5.5: 67%
Over 6.5: 53%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-17-6 | 0.864 SV% | 3.65 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 20-16-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.41 GAA
| Stat | STL | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.869 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.826 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.733 | 0.958 |
| GAA | 3.56 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • STL at home vs WSH: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-05 | WSH 6 - 1 STL | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-02-27 | WSH 2 - 5 STL | STL | WSH |
| 2024-11-09 | STL 1 - 8 WSH | WSH | STL |
| 2024-01-20 | STL 3 - 0 WSH | STL | STL |
| 2024-01-18 | WSH 5 - 2 STL | WSH | WSH |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:59 | WSH | Goal |
| 1 | 07:07 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 07:42 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 10:53 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 02:09 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 03:51 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 10:20 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 15:27 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 16:45 | WSH | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 1 - 8 Washington Capitals
Expected: 2.4 - 4.3