Dallas Stars at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2024-11-09 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 1 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

WPG: 57.3%

DAL: 42.7%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.42

DAL: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 72% • WPG at home vs DAL: 4-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	DAL 3 - 0 WPG	DAL	DAL
2026-02-02	DAL 4 - 3 WPG	DAL	DAL
2025-12-09	WPG 3 - 4 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-10-09	WPG 4 - 5 DAL	DAL	WPG
2025-05-17	DAL 2 - 1 WPG	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	16	2	1.68
1	DAL	8	0	0.31
2	WPG	16	2	1.76
2	DAL	19	0	1.13
3	WPG	9	1	1.01
3	DAL	27	0	1.89

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 1 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.4 - 3.0