New Jersey Devils at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2024-11-09 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 3 - 4 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

NYI: 48.7%

NJD: 51.3%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.14

NJD: 3.19

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • NYI at home vs NJD: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	NJD 1 - 3 NYI	NYI	NJD
2026-01-06	NYI 9 - 0 NJD	NYI	NYI
2025-12-23	NYI 2 - 1 NJD	NYI	NYI
2025-11-10	NJD 2 - 3 NYI	NYI	NJD
2025-04-13	NJD 0 - 1 NYI	NYI	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	9	0	0.51
1	NJD	17	0	0.68
2	NYI	13	0	0.81
2	NJD	15	1	1.40
3	NYI	12	0	0.83
3	NJD	13	1	1.13
4	NYI	3	0	0.31
4	NJD	3	0	0.29

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 3 - 4 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2