Carolina Hurricanes at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2024-11-09 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 6 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 53.3%
CAR: 46.7%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.01
CAR: 3.52
Total Goals
Median: 7.3
Over 5.5: 74%
Over 6.5: 60%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 30-6-6 | 0.920 SV% | 2.07 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
| Stat | COL | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.951 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.821 | — |
| GAA | 2.13 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • COL at home vs CAR: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | CAR 3 - 5 COL | COL | CAR |
| 2025-10-23 | COL 4 - 5 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2024-12-05 | CAR 5 - 3 COL | CAR | CAR |
| 2024-11-09 | COL 6 - 4 CAR | COL | COL |
| 2024-02-08 | CAR 5 - 2 COL | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:02 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 04:37 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 09:13 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 10:57 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 12:26 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 15:49 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 16:42 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 18:49 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 02:50 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 19:10 | COL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 53.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 10.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 6 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 3.0 - 3.5
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.