Carolina Hurricanes at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2024-11-09 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 6 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

COL: 48.7%

CAR: 51.3%

Expected Goals

COL: 2.96

CAR: 3.33

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • COL at home vs CAR: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-03	CAR 3 - 5 COL	COL	CAR
2025-10-23	COL 4 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR
2024-12-05	CAR 5 - 3 COL	CAR	CAR
2024-11-09	COL 6 - 4 CAR	COL	CAR
2024-02-08	CAR 5 - 2 COL	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	9	0	0.69
1	CAR	20	0	1.57
2	COL	26	4	2.97
2	CAR	11	1	0.83
3	COL	7	1	1.03
3	CAR	17	1	1.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 6 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.0 - 3.3