Edmonton Oilers at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2024-11-09 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 7 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

VAN: 44.4%

EDM: 55.6%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.96

EDM: 3.60

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	31	24	7	77.4%	3.79	4	-3.21
EDM	Stuart Skinner	20	17	3	85.0%	1.51	0	-1.49

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 52% • VAN at home vs EDM: 6-8

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-01	VAN 7 - 9 EDM	EDM	EDM
2026-09-29	EDM 5 - 6 VAN	VAN	EDM
2026-04-16	EDM 6 - 1 VAN	EDM	EDM
2026-01-17	VAN 0 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-10-26	VAN 4 - 3 EDM	VAN	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	9	0	0.27
1	EDM	18	2	1.65
2	VAN	13	0	0.72
2	EDM	9	1	0.67
3	VAN	10	0	0.53
3	EDM	18	1	1.48

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 7 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.0 - 3.6