San Jose Sharks at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions
2024-11-10 • Prudential Center
New Jersey Devils 0 - 1 San Jose Sharks
🚨 Upset Loss (65% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NJD: 64.6%
SJS: 35.4%
Expected Goals
NJD: 2.79
SJS: 2.36
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 41%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NJD at home vs SJS: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-30 | SJS 5 - 2 NJD | SJS | SJS |
| 2025-10-24 | NJD 3 - 1 SJS | NJD | NJD |
| 2025-01-04 | SJS 3 - 2 NJD | SJS | SJS |
| 2024-11-10 | NJD 0 - 1 SJS | SJS | NJD |
| 2024-02-27 | SJS 2 - 7 NJD | NJD | NJD |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NJD | 12 | 0 | 0.46 |
| 1 | SJS | 15 | 1 | 0.99 |
| 2 | NJD | 19 | 1 | 0.90 |
| 2 | SJS | 16 | 2 | 1.23 |
| 3 | NJD | 24 | 0 | 1.38 |
| 3 | SJS | 6 | 0 | 0.19 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 64.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 1.0
Expected: 5.2
Score Breakdown
New Jersey Devils 0 - 1 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 2.8 - 2.4
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