BUF vs MTL - 2024-11-11
2024-11-11 • KeyBank Center
BUF 5 - 7 MTL
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 50.9%
MTL: 49.1%
Expected Goals
BUF: 3.87
MTL: 3.55
Total Goals
Median: 7.0
Over 5.5: 71%
Over 6.5: 59%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 10-6-3 | 0.906 SV% | 2.82 GAA
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 14-5-3 | 0.888 SV% | 3.01 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:14 | MTL | Goal |
| 1 | 04:42 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 05:26 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 05:45 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 06:44 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 19:13 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 19:35 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 01:58 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 03:51 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 10:50 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 12:58 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 19:11 | MTL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 12.0
Expected: 7.4
Score Breakdown
BUF 5 - 7 MTL
Expected: 3.9 - 3.6