Montreal Canadiens at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2024-11-11 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 5 - 7 Montreal Canadiens

🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)

Win Probability

BUF: 61.9%

MTL: 38.1%

Expected Goals

BUF: 4.02

MTL: 3.69

Total Goals

Median: 10.4

Over 5.5: 92%

Over 6.5: 89%

BUF

Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA

MTL

Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • BUF at home vs MTL: 1-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	BUF 2 - 4 MTL	MTL	BUF
2026-01-22	MTL 2 - 4 BUF	BUF	MTL
2026-01-15	BUF 5 - 3 MTL	BUF	MTL
2025-10-20	MTL 4 - 2 BUF	MTL	MTL
2025-03-03	MTL 4 - 3 BUF	MTL	MTL

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	04:14	MTL	Goal
1	04:42	BUF	Goal
2	05:26	MTL	Goal
2	05:45	BUF	Goal
2	06:44	BUF	Goal
2	19:13	BUF	Goal
2	19:35	MTL	Goal
3	01:58	BUF	Goal
3	03:51	BUF	Goal
3	10:50	BUF	Goal
3	12:58	MTL	Goal
3	19:11	MTL	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 12.0

Expected: 7.7

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 5 - 7 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 4.0 - 3.7