San Jose Sharks at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2024-11-11 • Wells Fargo Center
Philadelphia Flyers 4 - 3 San Jose Sharks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 70.6%
SJS: 29.4%
Expected Goals
PHI: 3.29
SJS: 2.55
Total Goals
Median: 5.3
Over 5.5: 45%
Over 6.5: 31%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
| Stat | PHI | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.896 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.914 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.953 | — |
| GAA | 2.40 | 3.36 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PHI at home vs SJS: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | SJS 1 - 4 PHI | PHI | SJS |
| 2025-12-09 | PHI 4 - 1 SJS | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-12-31 | SJS 0 - 4 PHI | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-11-11 | PHI 4 - 3 SJS | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-03-12 | PHI 3 - 2 SJS | PHI | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:40 | PHI | Goal |
| 1 | 15:56 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 05:09 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 15:29 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 18:33 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 17:36 | PHI | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | PHI | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | PHI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 70.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 4 - 3 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 3.3 - 2.5
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