Los Angeles Kings at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions
2024-11-11 • Scotiabank Saddledome
Calgary Flames 3 - 1 Los Angeles Kings
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CGY: 56.3%
LAK: 43.7%
Expected Goals
CGY: 3.21
LAK: 3.01
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 16-21-3 | 0.895 SV% | 3.00 GAA
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 14-11-9 | 0.900 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | CGY | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.877 | 0.866 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.955 | 0.947 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.27 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • CGY at home vs LAK: 4-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 | LAK 1 - 2 CGY | CGY | LAK |
| 2025-04-17 | LAK 1 - 5 CGY | CGY | LAK |
| 2025-01-11 | CGY 2 - 1 LAK | CGY | CGY |
| 2024-11-11 | CGY 3 - 1 LAK | CGY | CGY |
| 2024-04-11 | LAK 4 - 1 CGY | LAK | LAK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 11:18 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 10:42 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 19:40 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 17:29 | CGY | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 56.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Calgary Flames 3 - 1 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 3.2 - 3.0