Los Angeles Kings at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions
2024-11-11 • Scotiabank Saddledome
Calgary Flames 3 - 1 Los Angeles Kings
🚨 Upset Win (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CGY: 42.5%
LAK: 57.5%
Expected Goals
CGY: 2.91
LAK: 3.07
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 19-14-15 | 0.891 SV% | 2.78 GAA
| Stat | CGY | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.833 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.952 | 0.934 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.27 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • CGY at home vs LAK: 5-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-24 | CGY 3 - 2 LAK | CGY | LAK |
| 2026-02-28 | LAK 2 - 0 CGY | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-12-13 | LAK 1 - 2 CGY | CGY | LAK |
| 2025-04-17 | LAK 1 - 5 CGY | CGY | LAK |
| 2025-01-11 | CGY 2 - 1 LAK | CGY | CGY |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 10:42 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 11:18 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 17:29 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 19:40 | CGY | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Calgary Flames 3 - 1 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 2.9 - 3.1
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