Carolina Hurricanes at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2024-11-11 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 2 - 5 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

VGK: 35.1%

CAR: 64.9%

Expected Goals

VGK: 2.66

CAR: 2.94

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 51%

VGK

Adin Hill - 1-0-2 | 0.888 SV% | 2.73 GAA

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VGK	Adin Hill	34	29	5	85.3%	4.61	6	-0.39
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	32	30	2	93.8%	2.49	2	0.49

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VGK at home vs CAR: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-06-14	VGK 0 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-06-11	CAR 4 - 2 VGK	CAR	CAR
2026-06-09	VGK 3 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-06-06	VGK 5 - 4 CAR	VGK	CAR
2026-06-04	CAR 4 - 3 VGK	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	5	1	0.49
1	CAR	22	1	1.32
2	VGK	16	0	0.79
2	CAR	22	2	1.68
3	VGK	17	1	1.21
3	CAR	12	3	1.62

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 2 - 5 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.7 - 2.9