New Jersey Devils at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2024-11-12 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 1 - 4 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

FLA: 48.4%

NJD: 51.6%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.26

NJD: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • FLA at home vs NJD: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-03	NJD 5 - 1 FLA	NJD	NJD
2025-11-20	FLA 1 - 0 NJD	FLA	FLA
2025-10-16	NJD 3 - 1 FLA	NJD	NJD
2025-01-14	NJD 1 - 2 FLA	FLA	NJD
2024-11-14	FLA 2 - 6 NJD	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	19	1	0.94
1	NJD	11	0	0.58
2	FLA	17	1	1.09
2	NJD	13	0	1.10
3	FLA	20	0	1.18
3	NJD	13	2	1.31

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 1 - 4 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1