Winnipeg Jets at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2024-11-12 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 3 - 6 Winnipeg Jets
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 38.4%
WPG: 61.6%
Expected Goals
NYR: 2.81
WPG: 3.70
Total Goals
Median: 7.3
Over 5.5: 76%
Over 6.5: 63%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA
| Stat | NYR | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.912 | 0.867 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.885 | 0.688 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYR at home vs WPG: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | NYR 2 - 3 WPG | WPG | WPG |
| 2026-03-12 | WPG 3 - 6 NYR | NYR | WPG |
| 2025-03-11 | WPG 2 - 1 NYR | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-11-12 | NYR 3 - 6 WPG | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-03-19 | NYR 2 - 4 WPG | WPG | WPG |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:57 | WPG | Goal |
| 1 | 13:07 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 08:58 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 12:51 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 16:03 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 01:08 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 01:40 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 13:08 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 19:40 | WPG | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 3 - 6 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 2.8 - 3.7
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.