New York Islanders at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-11-12 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 3 New York Islanders

Win Probability

EDM: 65.9%

NYI: 34.1%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.23

NYI: 2.63

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • EDM at home vs NYI: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-15	EDM 0 - 1 NYI	NYI	EDM
2025-10-16	NYI 4 - 2 EDM	NYI	EDM
2025-03-14	NYI 1 - 2 EDM	EDM	NYI
2024-11-12	EDM 4 - 3 NYI	EDM	EDM
2023-12-19	NYI 3 - 1 EDM	NYI	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	19	1	1.51
1	NYI	8	0	0.68
2	EDM	14	1	1.07
2	NYI	14	0	0.50
3	EDM	23	0	1.16
3	NYI	9	0	0.69
4	EDM	4	1	0.70
4	NYI	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 3 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.2 - 2.6