Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2024-11-12 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 1 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

VAN: 69.5%

CGY: 30.5%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.52

CGY: 2.87

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • VAN at home vs CGY: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	CGY 7 - 3 VAN	CGY	CGY
2025-11-23	VAN 2 - 5 CGY	CGY	CGY
2025-10-09	VAN 5 - 1 CGY	VAN	VAN
2025-03-12	CGY 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	CGY
2024-12-31	CGY 3 - 1 VAN	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	19	0	0.93
1	CGY	12	1	0.95
2	VAN	16	1	1.59
2	CGY	9	0	0.35
3	VAN	9	0	0.58
3	CGY	17	1	1.03

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 1 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.5 - 2.9