Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2024-11-12 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 1 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

VAN: 74.3%

CGY: 25.7%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.44

CGY: 2.61

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 41%

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

CGY

Dan Vladar - 12-11-6 | 0.898 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	29	28	1	96.6%	2.33	2	1.33
CGY	Dan Vladar	32	29	3	90.6%	3.09	1	0.09

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • VAN at home vs CGY: 7-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-03	VAN 4 - 1 CGY	VAN	VAN
2026-03-28	CGY 7 - 3 VAN	CGY	CGY
2025-11-23	VAN 2 - 5 CGY	CGY	CGY
2025-10-09	VAN 5 - 1 CGY	VAN	VAN
2025-03-12	CGY 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	19	0	0.93
1	CGY	12	1	0.95
2	VAN	16	1	1.59
2	CGY	9	0	0.35
3	VAN	9	0	0.58
3	CGY	17	1	1.03

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 74.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 1 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.4 - 2.6