Columbus Blue Jackets at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2024-11-12 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 5 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets

🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 49.8%

CBJ: 50.2%

Expected Goals

SEA: 2.98

CBJ: 2.87

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 51%

Over 6.5: 40%

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Joey Daccord	40	38	2	95.0%	3.46	3	1.46
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	33	28	5	84.8%	3.33	3	-1.67

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SEA at home vs CBJ: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	CBJ 5 - 2 SEA	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-11	SEA 1 - 2 CBJ	CBJ	SEA
2025-01-09	CBJ 6 - 2 SEA	CBJ	CBJ
2024-11-12	SEA 5 - 2 CBJ	SEA	CBJ
2024-01-28	SEA 4 - 2 CBJ	SEA	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	8	0	0.17
1	CBJ	24	1	1.24
2	SEA	26	1	1.98
2	CBJ	17	1	1.07
3	SEA	12	2	1.18
3	CBJ	18	1	1.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 5 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.0 - 2.9