Carolina Hurricanes at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2024-11-13 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 4 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)

Win Probability

UTA: 49.6%

CAR: 50.4%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.03

CAR: 3.51

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 17-10-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.68 GAA

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
UTA	Karel Vejmelka	50	49	1	98.0%	5.76	7	4.76
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	21	17	4	81.0%	2.30	1	-1.70

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • UTA at home vs CAR: 1-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	UTA 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-01-29	CAR 5 - 4 UTA	CAR	CAR
2025-02-08	CAR 7 - 3 UTA	CAR	CAR
2024-11-13	UTA 4 - 1 CAR	UTA	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	12	0	0.50
1	CAR	21	0	0.99
2	UTA	8	0	0.39
2	CAR	24	4	2.44
3	UTA	11	1	1.41
3	CAR	23	3	2.33

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 4 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.0 - 3.5