Carolina Hurricanes at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions
2024-11-13 • Delta Center
Utah Hockey Club 4 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes
🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
UTA: 47.5%
CAR: 52.5%
Expected Goals
UTA: 3.14
CAR: 3.55
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 50%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • UTA at home vs CAR: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | UTA 1 - 4 CAR | CAR | UTA |
| 2026-01-29 | CAR 5 - 4 UTA | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-02-08 | CAR 7 - 3 UTA | CAR | CAR |
| 2024-11-13 | UTA 4 - 1 CAR | UTA | CAR |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UTA | 12 | 0 | 0.50 |
| 1 | CAR | 21 | 0 | 0.99 |
| 2 | UTA | 8 | 0 | 0.39 |
| 2 | CAR | 24 | 4 | 2.44 |
| 3 | UTA | 11 | 1 | 1.41 |
| 3 | CAR | 23 | 3 | 2.33 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 52.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
Utah Hockey Club 4 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 3.1 - 3.5
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