St. Louis Blues at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions
2024-11-14 • KeyBank Center
Buffalo Sabres 4 - 3 St. Louis Blues
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 64.6%
STL: 35.4%
Expected Goals
BUF: 4.04
STL: 2.67
Total Goals
Median: 6.8
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 52%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 14-8-3 | 0.913 SV% | 2.72 GAA
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-17-6 | 0.864 SV% | 3.65 GAA
| Stat | BUF | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.869 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.934 | 0.826 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.889 | — |
| GAA | 2.82 | 3.56 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • BUF at home vs STL: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 | STL 2 - 4 BUF | BUF | STL |
| 2025-11-06 | BUF 0 - 3 STL | STL | BUF |
| 2024-12-29 | STL 2 - 4 BUF | BUF | STL |
| 2024-11-14 | BUF 4 - 3 STL | BUF | BUF |
| 2024-02-10 | BUF 1 - 3 STL | STL | BUF |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:11 | STL | Goal |
| 1 | 12:47 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 16:49 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 05:25 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 17:15 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 12:57 | BUF | Goal |
| 4 | 01:33 | BUF | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 64.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.7
Score Breakdown
Buffalo Sabres 4 - 3 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 4.0 - 2.7